NHS Digital Data Release Register - reformatted
MCKINSEY & COMPANY, INC. UNITED KINGDOM projects
9 data files in total were disseminated unsafely (information about files used safely is missing for TRE/"system access" projects).
Standard Extract Subscription — DARS-NIC-368233-L2N0W
Opt outs honoured: No - data flow is not identifiable, Anonymised - ICO Code Compliant, No (Does not include the flow of confidential data)
Legal basis: Health and Social Care Act 2012, Health and Social Care Act 2012 – s261(1) and s261(2)(b)(ii), Health and Social Care Act 2012 - s261 - 'Other dissemination of information', Health and Social Care Act 2012 s261(1) and s261(2)(b)(ii),
Sensitive: Non Sensitive, and Non-Sensitive
When:2017.09 — 2022.04. DSA runs 2019-12-16 — 2020-12-15
Access method: Ongoing, One-Off
Data-controller type: MCKINSEY & COMPANY, INC. UNITED KINGDOM
Sublicensing allowed: No
- Hospital Episode Statistics Accident and Emergency
- Hospital Episode Statistics Admitted Patient Care
- Hospital Episode Statistics Critical Care
- Hospital Episode Statistics Outpatients
- Emergency Care Data Set (ECDS)
- HES-ID to MPS-ID HES Accident and Emergency
- HES-ID to MPS-ID HES Admitted Patient Care
- HES-ID to MPS-ID HES Outpatients
NHS organisations, including NHS Trusts and Foundation Trusts, CCGs, CSUs, NHS England, NHS Improvement and Public Health England commission McKinsey & Company, Inc. United Kingdom (referred to as “McKinsey” hereafter) to work on projects which are procured by the NHS organisation within and outside of specific procurement framework agreements.
The scope of this work is developed by the client organisation and covers a broad range as specified by the client including strategy, performance transformation, and organisational development. Examples are listed in the “specific outputs” section.
McKinsey use HES data in order to provide fact-based answers to McKinsey’s NHS clients questions regarding identification, assessment and quantification of opportunities to improve the quality and efficiency of the NHS services that they deliver, or are responsible for overseeing and regulating.
McKinsey have applied for a license renewal for HES data from 2013/14 to the present (ongoing quarterly managed service subscription, with a rolling retention of 3 full years plus latest available) in order to be able to look at trends in performance, expenditure, utilisation and demand.
The specific purposes and types of analysis that McKinsey perform are the following:
(1) Benchmarking and analysis of operational performance
(2) Benchmarking and analysis of variation in utilisation rates and tariff spending
(3) Analysis of historic trends in rates of activity and spending
(4) Analysis of the impact of different service configuration options
HES data will only be used in the context of services by McKinsey in England and will not be used for non-NHS (or social care) organisations or for organisations outside of England.
McKinsey are requesting to maintain access to three years of historical data in order to monitor trends in performance, expenditure, utilisation and demand. Access to three years of data allows for the analysis of trends to identify cyclical patterns in utilisation as well as directional trends in performance, while also allowing for the identification of anomalies in activity. Furthermore this permits the measurement of the effectiveness of performance and cost improvement initiatives such as in tracking activity and expenditure following implementation of a cost improvement plan or QIPP initiative.
McKinsey has used HES data to support its work with NHS clients for the past 10 years. The benefits of some of this past work is set out in a range of case studies below. 1. Addressing a London health economy deficit of £40m (2017) McKinsey & Company completed a 5 week project in July 2017, working with a London health economy to address a system deficit of £40m. The project team used HES data to drive benchmarking of the CCG and trust’s historic performance against comparators and review internal activity trends such as A&E and ambulatory care sensitive condition attendance rates by GP practice across the borough. The team used these benchmarks to align the different health economy partners (including CCG and trust) around a shared understanding about the drivers of deficit, and identify opportunities to drive improvements to care quality and access. The benchmarking exercise using HES data has helped the local health economy identify geographic areas in need of short-term resource investments to improve access to urgent care. In particular, detailed historic benchmarking indicated that the health system had significantly higher than extended spending on acute care, and non-elective admissions in particular. Both the CCG and the trust agreed that an investment in community services would dramatically improve healthcare access and quality, as well as their deficit. The CCG and trust are now in ongoing discussions to move towards joint ways of working towards improving care and reducing the system deficit. 2. Financial recovery and improvement planning in the Midlands (2017). McKinsey & Company completed a 4 week study in June 2017 to provide financial recovery, improvement and sustainability support to a health economy in the Midlands. The health system had delivered their lowest level of QIPP savings since 2013, and were seeking to develop recurrent and transformational QIPP plans for the current fiscal year. The project team used HES data to benchmark the CCG’s historic performance against comparator CCGs, as well as to compare internal variability in secondary care activity by GP practice. These benchmarks were used to assess the size of the improvement opportunity in the region, evaluate the ambition of current QIPP schemes, and support the development of detailed delivery plans to implement the schemes. The outputs of the financial review, including the use of HES-derived outside-in productivity benchmarks, supported the delivery plans of 15 QIPP initiatives with an expected savings of c. £30m at the end of the fiscal year. 3. Access improvement for elective care at a teaching trust (2017) McKinsey completed an 8-week study in July 2017 to support access improvement to elective care for an NHS teaching trust serving a catchment population of 650,000. The project team used HES data to develop a single version of the truth on planned care performance to align stakeholders to a common understanding on changes in demand and their drivers over time. Analyses included an historical review of elective care activity volumes across inpatient and outpatient settings, compared volume increases to patterns in referral to treatment waiting times, and peer benchmarking on performance measures with other trusts. The analysis revealed that increases in volumes were driven by referrals from out of area CCGs, and by faster than average rise in consultant to consultant referrals. This analysis also supported subsequent prioritisation of improvement initiatives and the quantification of their impact. The anticipated impact of the planned interventions, once fully implemented, include: - Removed outpatient waiting list backlogs across five priority specialities within 12 months - Reversed deterioration in inpatient backlogs across five priority specialities within 12 months - Streamlined and more convenient services, such as faster email and telephone advice, one-stop shops to reduce patient visits, and greater use of patient decision aids and decision making in their treatment 4. Productivity of an ambulance trust (2014) McKinsey has been engaged in ongoing work since 2014 with an ambulance trust to review productivity opportunities across their operations. The client was facing deteriorating operational performance and was looking to implement a new operational approach. The project team performed detailed analysis and modelling of patient demand, service capacity and service efficiency. HES data were used to model historic trends in conveyances to A&E. Insights derived from HES analysis formed the basis for discussions with stakeholders and experts to diagnosis drivers of deteriorating performance. HES data was also used to compare historic performance prior to the adoption of a new operational pilot, with trust-supplied data following implementation. Impact of the new operating model was validated using actual observed pilot data. This included a 10% improvement in the proportion of ambulances arriving on scene within 8 minutes. 5. Financial improvement for an acute trust in the North of England (2016) McKinsey completed a 12 week project in July 2016 leading a large acute trust in the North of England through a large-scale financial improvement programme. The client faced an underlying financial challenge of £90m, having historically achieved ~£45m in annual financial improvements. McKinsey worked in consortium with MoorHouse and Four Eyes to review financial improvement opportunities across the whole of the hospital system. The project ran across two phases, with the first 2 weeks dedicated to a rapid baseline assessment to identify top-down opportunities. During this period the McKinsey team used HES data to benchmark productivity KPIs such as case-mix adjusted ALOS and historic changes to activity within key specialties against comparator trust peers to size the overall productivity potential. In the second 10-week delivery phase, the consortium supported hospital divisions to develop and strengthen plans for delivery around the nursing workforce, medical workforce, theatres, outpatients, length of stay and admin and clerical workforce. The team’s work, supported by peer benchmarks using HES data, helped to strengthen 300 existing financial turnaround initiatives and identify an additional 100 plans, for a total achieved in-year savings of £79m (or £100m in annualised savings). 6. Clinical service redesign for an NHS trust (2016) McKinsey completed an 18 week project in clean sheet redesign across six functional and clinical service lines in November 2016. The team used HES data to conduct a diagnostic of orthopaedic productivity metrics including length of stay, operations per consultant, DNA rates and activity rates. The trust’s performance was benchmarked internally across the hospital sites, and nationally against comparable trusts. Metrics were designed to align with national best practice. Analyses of case-mix adjusted length of stay were conducted to confirm that the trust’s higher length of stay post-surgery was related to productivity rather than complexity of cases. McKinsey worked with a triumvirate of consultant, nurse and manager from the service line to develop aspiration targets derived from the benchmarking. HES outputs were presented to a broad range of staff in large design workshops in terms of aggregated PowerPoint tables. The result of the work has been an end to end pathway redesign built around the aspirational productivity metrics and agreed upon by the hospital’s clinicians and non-clinical leads, and a modelled impact of the redesign on the people and infrastructure requirements. . The end to end pathway redesign is expected to improve patient care by improving quality of care in line with national best practice guidelines, reducing variation in clinical quality, and reducing referral to treatment times. Referral to treatment times are expected to fall from the current median of >36 weeks to 5 weeks.
Benefits achieved to date are :
1. McKinsey completed an 18 week project in clean sheet redesign across six functional and clinical service lines in November 2016. The team used HES data to conduct a diagnostic of orthopaedic productivity metrics including length of stay, operations per consultant, DNA rates and activity rates. The trust’s performance was benchmarked internally across the hospital sites, and nationally against comparable trusts. Metrics were designed to align with national best practice. Deep dives on case mix adjusted length of stay were conducted to confirm that the trust’s higher length of stay post-surgery was related to productivity rather than complexity of cases. McKinsey worked with a triumvirate of consultant, nurse and manager from the service line to develop aspiration targets derived from the benchmarking. HES outputs were presented to a broad range of staff in large design workshops in terms of aggregated PowerPoint tables. The result of the work has been an end to end pathway redesign built around the aspirational productivity metrics and agreed upon by the hospital’s clinicians and non-clinical leads, and a modelled impact of the redesign on the people and infrastructure requirements. . The end to end pathway redesign is expected to improve patient care by improving quality of care in line with national best practice guidelines, reducing variation in clinical quality, and reducing referral to treatment times. Referral to treatment times are expected to fall from the current median of >36 weeks to 5 weeks.
2. McKinsey completed a 13 week project in December 2015 working with a group of CCGs in London and their stakeholder trusts to review productivity savings over the next five years to achieve their planned system transformation. The project ran across three phases to identify and then develop proof of concept projects to achieve these savings. HES data was used to benchmark productivity opportunities in operational performance by comparing case mix adjusted length of stay across the four stakeholder trusts and with their comparator trusts across England. In the first phase, the McKinsey team identified over £500m of potential productivity improvements, drawing on both the HES analysis as well as detailed benchmarking of the trusts’ financial accounts. In the second phase, McKinsey worked with stakeholders to develop ‘proof of concept’ projects across elective orthopaedics, end of life care, and bank and agency staff costs. For each of these categories of spend, the team undertook a productivity diagnosis and developed a joint implementation plan based on the findings. HES data was used to measure historic variation in elective orthopaedics around case-mix adjusted length of stay, procedures per pseudonymised consultant, and other activity metrics. The McKinsey team used this benchmarking analysis, presented in aggregated PowerPoint tables to convene working groups of clinicians and non-clinicians involved in elective orthopaedic care to agree upon a best practice pathway to reduce unwarranted variation. The outputs of the productivity review are expected to reduced variation in clinical quality and outcomes through the development of a best practice pathway supported by clinicians. The new pathway is also expected to deliver £10m in recurrent efficiency gains through improved clinical productivity.
3. McKinsey completed a 3 month study in March 2016 to develop a single hospital service across a financially challenged health economy in the North of England currently served by three large trusts. The region was facing high levels of health inequalities and poor outcomes. The purpose of the project was to improve clinical care through the reduction of variation in quality, outcomes, patient experience and cost through the consolidation of independent services into a single service. HES data was critical for identifying addressable variations in length of stay, volumes and productivity across the hospitals and through benchmarking with peer trusts. Data was presented in aggregated tables comparing activity across the hospital sites, alongside data on clinical outcomes from the national clinical audits. These were used to align stakeholders around the value of the single hospital service. The trusts involved in the single hospital service are in the process of implementing the recommendations from the review (including those underpinned by HES benchmarking) to reconfigure and consolidate services. The reduction in duplication of effort and more streamlined care are expected to produce £20-30m for the health economy when fully realised.
4. McKinsey completed a 12 week project in July 2016 leading a large acute trust in the North of England through a large-scale financial improvement programme. The client faced an underlying financial challenge of £90m, having historically achieved ~45m in annual financial improvements. McKinsey worked in consortium with MoorHouse and Four Eyes to review financial improvement opportunities across the whole of the hospital system. The project ran across two phases, with the first 2 weeks dedicated to a rapid baseline assessment to identify top-down opportunities. During this period the McKinsey team used HES data to benchmark productivity KPIs such as case-mix adjusted ALOS and historic changes to activity within key specialties against comparator trust peers to size the overall productivity potential. In the second 10 week delivery phase, the consortium supported hospital divisions to develop a strengthen plans for delivery around the nursing workforce, medical workforce, theatres, outpatients, length of stay and admin and clerical workforce. HES benchmarking against comparator peers was used to assess and strengthen the plans. The team’s work helped to strengthen 300 existing financial turnaround initiatives and identify an additional 100 plans, for a total in-year savings of £79m. The outputs of the overall Financial Improvement Programme, including the use of HES-derived outside-in productivity benchmarks supported the delivery plans of 400 trust initiatives with an expected savings of £79m at the end of the fiscal year.
5.McKinsey and Company has been engaged in ongoing work since 2014 with an ambulance trust to review productivity opportunities across their operations. The client was facing deteriorating operational performance and was looking to implement a new operational approach. The project team performed detailed analysis and modelling of patient demand, service capacity and service efficiency. HES data were used to model historic trends in conveyances to A&E. Insights derived from HES analysis formed the basis for discussions with stakeholders and experts to diagnosis drivers of deteriorating performance. HES data was also used to compare historic performance prior to the adoption of a new operational pilot, with trust-supplied data following implementation. After successful pilot implementation, impact was validated using actual observed pilot data, confirming operational formats and leading to the roll-out of the operating model across the whole of the ambulance service. The project is set to continue in 2017.
6. McKinsey and Company completed a 14 week project up to December 2016 to provide financial recovery, improvement and sustainability support to an STP footprint in the East of England. The health region was facing a projected deficit of close to £500m by 2021 and is one of the most financially challenged health economies in the country. The project team used HES data to drive operational performance benchmarking of the CCG’s historic performance against comparator CCGs, and to compare internal activity trends, such as rates of A&E attendances and outpatient attendances by GP practice. The team used these benchmarks to assess the size of the total opportunity to improve, evaluate the ambition of current QIPP schemes, identify new opportunities for efficiency savings, and to support development of detailed delivery plans to implement these schemes and address remaining financial gap.
7. At the end of 2016, McKinsey and Company completed an 18 month strategic partnership with a London CCG. The objectives of the work were to ensure the organisational priorities were correct given the changing landscape, local health needs and the quality and performance of local services, as a basis for organisational work to ensure the organisation had the capacity and capability to deliver these priorities. HES data was used at the outset of the programme to conduct a broad and detailed diagnostic of historic 3 year trends in activity across acute and emergency care, and paediatric and maternity care to understand activity growth and service needs across the borough; this included analysis such as identifying potentially avoidable hospitalisations and A&E visits by age group. This diagnostic phase helped facilitate a thorough review of the priorities and draft strategic plans based upon the comprehensive analysis of service utilisation patterns. This work led to the development of 5 year commissioning strategic priorities that address the CCG’s greatest health challenges, and then informed a broader organisational development programme, which included an organisational review of the CCG’s commissioning functions and structure
Expected future benefits for individual projects vary, but in almost all cases involve identification and quantification of opportunities to improve the quality of patient care and population health, and to deliver more effective, efficient care. Target dates (for expected improvements) also vary but in almost all cases are within 3 years and often include within year opportunities for service improvements and/or savings.
Examples of the benefits expected for the projects described above
Examples of the benefits expected for the seven projects described above:
1. The end to end pathway redesign is expected to improve patient care by improving quality of care in line with national best practice guidelines, reducing variation in clinical quality, and reducing referral to treatment times. Referral to treatment times are expected to fall from the current median of >36 weeks to 5 weeks.
2. The outputs of the productivity review are expected to reduced variation in clinical quality and outcomes through the development of a best practice pathway supported by clinicians. The new pathway is also expected to deliver £10m in recurrent efficiency gains through improved clinical productivity.
3. The outputs of the overall Financial Improvement Programme, including the use of HES-derived outside-in productivity benchmarks supported the delivery plans of 400 trust initiatives with an expected savings of £79m at the end of the fiscal year.
4. The trusts involved in the single hospital service are in the process of implementing the recommendations from the review (including those underpinned by HES benchmarking) to reconfigure and consolidate services. The reduction in duplication of effort and more streamlined care are expected to produce £20-30m for the health economy when fully realised.
5. The ambulance service has adopted a new operational model developed following a diagnostic of deteriorating operational performance informed by benchmarking using HES A&E data. It is expected that the ambulance service will roll-out the necessary operational changes over the coming months, resulting in a significantly higher productivity of current staff and more consistent achievement of the nationally mandated access targets.
6. The outputs of the overall STP project, including the use of HES-derived outside-in productivity benchmarks supported the delivery plans of >200 STP wide initiatives, include an expected savings of ~£40m at the end of the fiscal year.
7. It is expected that this CCG’s 5 year plan, informed by the HES-derived benchmarks, and the improved capacity and capabilities within the CCG will lead to better allocative efficiency of resources, which should in turn improve access to quality care tailored to the population’s needs.
It is not possible to provide full details of all specific outputs and timings because McKinsey work on multiple projects for a large number of different national, regional and local organisations across the NHS, including providers, commissioners and regulators. Some examples of outputs expected are set out below.
During the course of the projects that McKinsey do with NHS organisations, McKinsey test the data and analysis with McKinsey’s clients, and where necessary update and replace the data with summary data provided by the clients. This is the case with commissioners and providers, but is not always possible due to limitations in analytical capabilities, resources, and their own access to data.
Data is only shared with clients, and only in aggregated, non-patient identifiable formats with small numbers suppressed in line with the HES Analysis Guide’.
McKinsey shares outputs in the following ways with clients:
• McKinsey include aggregated, non-patient identifiable data in line with the small numbers guidance into Excel and Tableau models which McKinsey hand over to the NHS client
• McKinsey publish graphs based on the aggregated, non-patient identifiable results of quantitative analysis in line with the small numbers guidance in reports given to McKinsey’s NHS clients
• McKinsey present the aggregated, non-patient identifiable results in line with the small numbers guidance at meetings with NHS client stakeholders
McKinsey do not directly publish the outputs in any journal articles or other public documents (e.g., white papers) nor do McKinsey directly present any data outputs in the public domain. McKinsey will only share aggregated analysis with its NHS clients in Excel, Tableau or PowerPoint charts, in full compliance with the small numbers guidance in the HES Analysis Guide.
Current projects with NHS clients requiring access to HES include:
• Ongoing 18 month project with a London CCG to review their strategic and organisational development due to end in November 2016. (Complete November 2016)
• Ongoing work since 2014 with an ambulance trust to review productivity opportunities across their operations, due to end in November 2016. (Complete November 2016)
• Current 2 month provision of financial recovery, improvement and sustainability to two STP footprints until mid November 2016. This work entails benchmarking providers across an entire health system, predicting patient flow through different reconfiguration models, and understanding key health activity metrics of their populations. We are in discussions with other STP footprints to commence similar support with their implementation programmes. (Complete November 2016)
• McKinsey expect to begin work in the winter 2017 with a large acute teaching trust in London to review productivity opportunities within specific service lines. Project start date is still under discussion.
• McKinsey have responded to a tender with an NHS region to evaluate their urgent and emergency vanguard programmes. The project would run from January to April 2017. Access to HES would enable analysis to understand historic patient flows for emergency care (A&E and inpatient) to compare with in-year hospital data from NHS trusts participating in the vanguard.
The data or outputs will not be used (directly or indirectly) for sales or marketing purposes by McKinsey & Company Inc. United Kingdom or by any other non-NHS organisation and can only be used for the purposes of the promotion of health.
Data is extracted from the SAS (http://www.sas.com) database in which it is stored in the form of data queries. These are analysed further in Excel and Tableau.
McKinsey currently only use SAS and SAS Enterprise Guide to extract the data. Further analysis on extracted data is currently conducted in Excel spreadsheets and in Tableau software.
(1) Benchmarking and analysis of operational performance
McKinsey have a standardised tool which is created annually using HES data. This tool is a "Hospital Diagnostic" which compares all NHS acute Trusts on a range of operational performance metrics (including case-mix adjusted average length of stay, day case and day of surgery admission rates by setting and specialty; proportion of A&E attendances resulting in admission by length of stay of that admission etc) against a peer group (tailored to each individual Trust). This analytical tool is created in Tableau. McKinsey also conduct ad hoc analyses for the same measures to look in more detail at performance, for example at site level, or for specific types of patients (e.g. sub-groups defined by age, gender and diagnosis cluster). Ad hoc analysis is conducted in excel using subsets of data extracted using standardised data queries from the SAS database.
(2) Benchmarking and analysis of variation in utilisation rates and tariff spending
McKinsey have standardised approaches to measure variation in utilisation rates (by setting, patient type or demographic sub-group, specialty and different activity clusters) and associated tariff expenditure both within (at GP practice level) and between CCG commissioner peer groups (defined using ONS cluster groupings). Utilisation is measured as an activity rate (or associated tariff value) per 1,000 age-needs weighted population (or most appropriate population measure) and compared to CCG (or GP practice) peer group median, quartiles and deciles. This analysis is conducted in excel using subsets of data extracted using standardised data queries from the SAS database.
(3) Analysis of historic trends in rates of activity and spending.
Operational performance and utilisation rates are measured over time at different frequencies, including yearly, monthly and weekly, in order to understand cyclical patterns and directional performance trends. This analysis is conducted in excel or Tableau using subsets of data extracted using standardised data queries from SAS.
(4) Analysis of the impact of different service configuration options
HES data is used to develop best estimates of baseline activity and capacity (defined as bed days for admitted patient care) for commissioners and providers, aggregated at service line level (defined by specialty and point of delivery). This is then forecasted forward using a range of sources of insight, data and triangulation methods (including, but not limited to, local and national historic trends described above), to develop growth assumptions and scenarios. A simulation is created, in excel or Tableau, to analyse how these baseline levels would change over time if service configuration changed.
Hospice UK: Hospice-led innovations for end of life care (HOLISTIC) — DARS-NIC-90989-D6T1T
Opt outs honoured: Yes - patient objections upheld, Anonymised - ICO Code Compliant, Yes (Section 251, Section 251 NHS Act 2006)
Legal basis: Health and Social Care Act 2012 – s261(1) and s261(2)(b)(ii), Health and Social Care Act 2012 s261(1) and s261(2)(b)(ii),
Sensitive: Non Sensitive, and Sensitive, and Non-Sensitive
When:2019.04 — 2020.02. DSA runs 2019-04-18 — 2020-04-17
Access method: One-Off
Data-controller type: HOSPICE UK, NHS ENGLAND (QUARRY HOUSE)
Sublicensing allowed: No
- Hospital Episode Statistics Admitted Patient Care
- HES:Civil Registration (Deaths) bridge
- Civil Registration - Deaths
- Civil Registration (Deaths) - Secondary Care Cut
- Personal Demographic Service
Hospice UK and NHS England are running a service evaluation to improve the provision of end of life care in England: Hospice-led innovations for end of life care (HOLISTIC). A major component of this service evaluation is a quantitative comparison of health services utilisation by patients in the last 90 days of life, across different end-of-life care models, to which this agreement relates.
Medical and statistical purposes
The medical purpose of Hospice UK and NHS England’s service evaluation is to improve the provision of care and treatment and the management of health and social care services for end of life care, in terms of the quality and cost of care, as well as the alignment with patients’ preferences over care location.
The study is a statistical evaluation of different care models, using quantitative data to identify significant differences in various outcome measures, including the number of hospital bed-days in the last 90 days of life, that identify the best interventions for improving end-of-life care in the UK.
It matters where people spend the end of their lives. People prefer to die at home (of those who express preferences, 80% prefer to die at home and 5% in hospital), but the reality is very different (50% die in hospital, and 25% at home). The costs of end-of-life care are high, amounting to over 20% of the NHS budget, and there are many home, community, hospice and care-home based end of care settings that provide high-quality, appropriate care at substantially lower costs (in comparison to admitted patient care in NHS acute hospitals).
Project overview and objective
NHS England and Hospice UK are running a service evaluation on the effectiveness of end of life care programmes in moving patients out of hospitals at the end of their lives and into other locations of care, such as their homes, care homes and hospices, and in their ability to prevent avoidable hospital admissions for these patients.
Twenty-four hospices have identified recently-introduced care models that may reduce patients’ usage of hospital-based end-of-life care. HospiceUK’s study will evaluate these models using a quantitative and qualitative methodology. The results will be presented in academic literature, publicly available reports and as guides on how to implement the most effective models nationwide.
The quantitative analysis will use aggregated and de-identified historical secondary care records of deceased patients, from the linked HES-mortality dataset, to measure the impact created by the introduction of these recent care innovations on the average amount of time patients spend in hospital. This will allow the effectiveness of each care model to be compared. The comparison measures include the (reduction in) number of hospital bed days in the last 90 days of life, the number of A&E and inpatient admissions in the same timeframe, the probability of dying in hospital, and the number of discharges into palliative care.
The qualitative phase will consist of interviews of hospice and care home staff, patients and carers, to understand the experience of care within each new care initiative, and to gain sufficient information to provide detailed guidance to other hospices on how to implement these new programmes. This phase will be performed in collaboration with St Giles Medical. Whilst it does not relate to this agreement, it is referenced here for completeness.
The study as a whole will therefore both provide a statistical examination of the most effective care innovations in reducing hospital usage at the end of life, as well as detailed implementation guides to enable care providers nationwide to adopt these practices. The quantitative phase uses pseudonymised historical secondary care records. The Health Research Authority have confirmed that their ethical review and approval is not required for this phase.
Note on project design, funding, and parties involved
The project is joint funded by NHS England and Hospice UK.
The HOLISTIC project, and the quantitative analyses that it includes, was designed by Hospice UK and NHS England. As part of this process, Hospice UK and NHS England took advice on the design of the project and analyses from McKinsey & Company, Inc. United Kingdom, (referred to from hereon as "McKinsey"). Based in part on this advice, the final decisions on study design were taken by Hospice UK and NHS England, who act as data controllers for this project.
McKinsey has further been commissioned by Hospice UK and NHS England to be their data processor, running analyses on the linked HES-mortality datasets to test the effectiveness of the different care models.
Patient record data will be processed by McKinsey alone, and the outputs will be aggregated with small numbers suppressed in line with the HES Analysis Guide. McKinsey will store the data onsite at their London office in a locked server room compliant with industry best practices. Data will only be accessed for the specific project by a named analyst, and will be destroyed within 14 days of study completion.
NHS England and Hospice UK will only view aggregated results of the analysis with small numbers suppressed, and will not be storing or processing record-level data.
McKinsey's support to Hospice UK and NHS England, both in the provision of advice before the project design was confirmed, and in their provision of data processing activities, is on a pro-bono basis. McKinsey has no commercial interest in any aspect of this study, and in particular has no commercial interest in the processing of the data or publication of results relating to this project.
St Giles Medical have been contracted to perform qualitative data collection and analysis related to the qualitative research. St Giles medical will also assist with final report writing, but will only view aggregated outputs with small numbers suppressed.
The overarching objectives of the proposed analysis of end-of-life care innovations is to improve care for patients at the end of life, in terms of the quality and cost of care, as well as the alignment with patients’ preferences over care location. Analysis of the linked HES-ONS data will allow Hospice UK and NHS England to test the ability of recent care interventions to reduce the number of bed days spent in hospital by patients at the end of life, to determine how to scale up the best approaches, and to develop evidence-based end of life pathways for commissioners.
The expected benefits from the recommended care innovations to patients include:
- Reduced lengths of stay for end-of-life patients in hospital
- A shift of up to 30,000 patients to end of life care in other settings than hospital: supported at home, in care homes, or in hospices. (This represents a movement of 10% of the patients who currently end their lives in hospital.)
- Improved patient and caregiver/family satisfaction, as more end-of-life care is provided in situations that align with patient preferences (only 5% of surveyed patients that expressed a preference over place of care at the end of life said that they preferred to die in hospital).
The expected benefits to commissioners and NHS England include:
- Clear evidence-based guidance on the number of hospital bed days saved by the surveyed interventions, and the potential for the number of saved bed days nationally if the best interventions are adopted
- An understanding, based on this evidence, which end-of-life care innovations reduce hospital costs, align with patient preferences, and are scalable to regional and national levels
- Guidance on how best to commission and sustain the recommended models
- With this evidence, understanding and guidance, commissioners will change end of life care in the UK. This could realise savings of around £500 per patient in the last days of life by following alternatives to hospital palliative care, and provide more care that satisfies the NHS Patient Experience Framework’s respect for patient preferences
The expected benefits to hospices and care homes include:
- Evidence-based recommendations on new care innovations that increase the usage of alternatives to hospital services at the end of life
- Detailed guidance on how to interact with local commissioners and other funding sources, and on how to operate the recommended models at scale
- As a result of this evidence and guidance, hospices and care homes will be enabled to implement the most effective care innovations over the next 1-4 years.
Outputs from the analysis
The output from the analysis of the HES-ONS data will contain only aggregate data with small numbers suppressed in line with HES analysis guidance.
The use of these data will be solely to produce the outputs for NHS England and Hospice UK’s service evaluation, and not for any other purpose, organisation, company or project.
Outputs from NHS England’s and Hospice UK’s service evaluation
In disseminating the findings, NHS England and Hospice Uk will seek input and guidance from key stakeholders, including hospice services, commissioners, and patients and families.
Alongside a final report to NHS England (by November 2019) and publication of the quantitative evaluation as an open-access article through submission to a peer-reviewed academic journal (by November 2019), Hospice UK will also be developing ‘how to’ guides for hospices and for commissioners (written and presented by November 2019) to help them put the findings in to practice. These guides will draw out the practical steps that those key stakeholders can take based upon the study conclusions, and will be developed in partnership with representatives of those key audiences. The guides will be supplemented by workshops and webinars, and will sit alongside other resources developed by Hospice UK to help support service improvement based on population need, including our Population Needs Assessment Tool (PopNAT). The project team will also be exploring the use of Project ECHO methodology to establish communities to practice to implement the findings.
Hospice UK will also discuss the findings with our People in Partnership group, which is made up of people with lived experience of terminal illness. They will ask the group to advise us on how best to communicate the findings of the study to patients and families, for example via resources that help describe the role that hospice care can play in supporting people and their families.
The data requested for this study relates specifically to the following cohorts:
1) Intervention cohorts
2) Pre-treat cohort
3) Control cohorts.
Each of these is described in detail below. All data relates to the deceased only.
1) INTERVENTION COHORTS
The following cohorts all contain deceased people who were affected by an intervention of end of life care. They have been divided in to four cohorts as the most appropriate method of evaluation depends on which type of intervention influenced their end of life care.
• Hospice service users
• Care home residents
• Patients that received hospital-based interventions
• Patients in the hospice catchment area
All cohorts will be minimised to patients who were aged over 18 years of age as well as to episodes no greater than 90 days prior to the date of their death.
Intervention cohort 1- Hospice service users
This cohort includes 7 hospices. The individuals included in this cohort are all those who used the hospice service from its start date (range January 2013-November 2016) to April 2018 and died prior to April 2018. Hospices will only upload identifiers of those individuals who are deceased.
This cohort includes intervention types: hospice at home, community services for non-cancer patients and nurse-led beds for less complex patients. These services are in this cohort because the individuals in receipt of these interventions can be identified through records kept by the hospices.
To select records associated with the intervention cohort the 7 hospices in the evaluation will collect a set of patient identifiable information (the NHS number, sex, date of birth and home postcode of each patient) indicating the complete cohort of patients that have been involved in the studied care intervention, over the past 6 years. The individuals included in this cohort are all those who used the hospice service from its start date (range January 2013-November 2016) to April 2018 and died prior to April 2018. Hospices will only upload identifiers of those individuals who are deceased.
Each hospice will securely upload the above identifiers to NHS Digital of any individuals referred to their intervention from the point of service implementation to NHS Digital. NHS Digital will associate these data with the appropriate APC HES and mortality data and flag these patients as belonging to a specific hospice in the pseudonymised dataset provided to McKinsey & Company, Inc. United Kingdom, for further data processing. This will enable McKinsey to identify which Hospice the patient is associated with.
Intervention cohort 2- care home residents
This cohort relates to 5 hospices and includes the 80 care homes that they have worked with. The individuals in this cohort are residents living at the care homes since hospice service start date (range April 2015-July 2016), and who died before April 2018.
This cohort includes the hospice interventions that have involved working with care homes (termed care/nursing home education in this study).
To select the individuals in this cohort, Hospice UK will provide the names and addresses of the care homes. NHS Digital will associate the relevant APC HES and mortality data based on recorded addresses of the care home residents.
Intervention cohort 3- patients that received hospital-based interventions
In total this cohort relates to 5 hospices and involves 8 hospitals (some of the hospices work with more than one local hospital). The individuals in this cohort are those who died prior to April 2018 and interacted with one of these 8 hospitals in their last 90 days of life, after the hospice implemented their service (range January 2013-October 2016).
This cohort includes the hospice interventions that involved working with a local hospital. These are: hospital-based discharge service, hospital-based discharge service delivering social care and nurse-led beds for less complex patients.
Hospice UK will provide NHS Digital with the name, address and NHS trust code of the hospital. They will use this information to extract APC HES and mortality data of people who have interacted with this hospital in the 90 days prior to death.
It should be noted for one of the interventions in this cohort , nurse-led beds for less complex patients, involves two hospices and is being measured through both intervention cohort 3 and intervention cohort 1. This is because, due to hospice records, it is possible to measure at the level of identifier-upload by the hospice (cohort 1). However, in terms of the wider system, the impact is likely to be seen within the hospital population as less-complex patients will now be transferred to these beds instead of perhaps remaining in hospital. It is for this reason that these two interventions will be measured through two cohorts. Triangulating the data between the two cohorts also presents an opportunity to critically assess whether variation in data is due to the method of evaluation.
Intervention cohort 4- patients in the hospice catchment area
This cohort involves data from 9 hospices relating to decedents who resided in the hospice catchment from date of service implementation (range April 2011-December 2016) until April 2018 and died prior to April 2018.
Hospice UK are requesting control cohorts
This cohort includes these intervention types: single point of access (SPA), 24/7 helpline for service users, ambulance staff education, palliative care outreach to rural areas and hospice inpatient capacity expansion. These intervention types are included in this cohort because they impact the entire of the hospice catchment area and there is no way of knowing which individuals benefitted from these interventions. Hospices do not keep records on who rings an advice line for example, however there is likely to be a cumulative impact on hospital usage at the population level.
Hospice UK will provide NHS Digital with postcodes at the sector level (e.g. SW9 6) that represent the catchment of the hospice. NHS Digital will select individuals from within this catchment based on recorded home addresses.
2) PRE-TREAT COHORT
To obtain baseline data, Hospice UK are looking at the catchment areas (as described for intervention cohort 4) for all 24 hospices prior to 2010. The individuals included will be those living in the catchment area of the hospice April 2009-April 2010, and who died in the same period.
3) CONTROL COHORTS
For the control cohort 11 control cohorts will be created and their size will range from 1,000 to 15,000, with an average size of 9275.
There are three cohorts; appropriate to the method of evaluation for the intervention cohorts. These three cohorts allow us to control for any general changes in palliative care that may have happened during the period being looked at in the study: April 2010-April 2018.
For the controls hospices we do need something from them to include in our analysis and the postcode lists are least sensitive as they are not patient-identifiable (sector level rather than full postcode) and we will be looking at an aggregated locality level.
Control cohort 1- the control for intervention cohorts 1 and 4 (Hospice service users and Patients in the hospice catchment area)
This control cohort is for both intervention cohorts 1 and 4 and follows the same method described for intervention cohort 4.
This cohort involves data from 11 hospices relating to decedents who resided in the hospices catchments in April 2010-April 2018 and died in the same period.
This group involves data from 11 hospices relating to decedents who resided in the hospices catchments in April 2010-April 2018 and died in the same period. These hospices were selected through two routes. 1. In response to an email sent about service provision stability over the study period to a potential longlist of 66 hospices suitable to be controls as identified by Hospice UK leadership and 2. Hospices that had applied to be in the intervention arm, but were excluded due to their intervention start date. These two methods resulted in 14 control hospices and of those we received data from 11
Control cohort 2- the control for intervention cohort 2 (Care home residents)
This cohort is the control for intervention cohort 2 and relates to the same 5 hospices. In addition to supplying details of the homes that they had worked with (intervention cohort 2), they also provided names of care homes in their locality with which they had not worked. This control cohort includes those who resided at these 25 control care homes between April 2010-April 2018, and who died prior to April 2018.
To select the individuals in this cohort, Hospice UK will provide the names and addresses of the care homes to NHS Digital and NHS Digital will associate the relevant HES and mortality data based on recorded addresses.
Control cohort 3- the control for intervention cohort 3 (Patients that received hospital-based interventions )
The 8 hospitals in intervention cohort 3 were matched by deprivation score and size (number of beds used as a proxy) to 5 hospitals appropriate to be controls.
Hospice UK will provide NHS Digital with the name, address and NHS trust code of the hospital. NHS Digital will use this information to extract HES and mortality data of individuals who interacted with this hospital in their 90 days of life.
The individuals in this cohort are those who died prior to April 2018 and interacted with one of these 5 hospitals in their last 90 days of life, between April 2010-April 2018.
For each patient cohort, NHS Digital will provide a pseudonymised extract from the HES APC linked with mortality data, labelled by cohort. No direct patient identifiers will flow from NHS Digital.
No direct patient identifiers will be revealed outside the organizational boundaries of the care providers or of NHS Digital. The data flow between care providers and NHS Digital is covered by section 251 support.
Each record will be given a unique pseudonymised ID. To enable association of each record with a hospice and intervention, the year of death, month of death, and the first half of the patient’s postcode (or other indicator of which hospice and intervention the patient links to), will also be recorded.
The principal outcome measure for this study is the reduction in the number of hospital bed days for an average patient involved in an intervention. This is measured as the reduction in the number of nights spent in hospital during the last 90 days of life.
Additionally, secondary outcome measures are being requested form NHS Digital. These are: service of place of death (hospital / hospice / home), number of A&E admissions in last 90 days of life, number of emergency admissions in last 90 days of life, number of inpatient admissions in last 90 days of life, number of outpatient admissions in last 90 days of life, number of transfers to palliative care and social care services in the last 90 days of life
ADDITIONAL EXPLANATORY VARIABLES
Each record will include the following control variables: ICD-10 code for diagnosis at death, ICD-10 code for additional diagnoses (including cancer), age, sex, ethnicity, Index of Multiple Deprivation to measure socio-economic deprivation at the home postcode, an urbanisation indicator based on home postcode, distance from home postcode to nearest hospital, distance from home postcode to nearest hospice.
It is the intention that each of these variables should be included as patient demographics within the model.
USAGE OF THE DATA SUPPLIED BY NHS DIGITAL
As data processors, McKinsey will test the effects of the various care interventions on the patient cohorts in the final 90 days of life.
The quantitative analysis at McKinsey will consist of a separate quasi-experimental longitudinal study for each end of life care initiative being evaluated. These analyses will test the differences in hospital utilization in the last 90 days of life for similar cohorts of patients, both before and after the introduction of each initiative. These differences will be compared to control cohorts of patients, sampled over similar time points, that did not have access to the new care initiatives. This is, in effect, a “difference of differences” analysis. Other outcome measures will include numbers of A&E admissions, together with the place of death (such as hospital, home or hospice). No direct flow of identifiers will flow from NHS Digital.
The results of the analysis will be a statistical comparison of the impact of each care initiative on the hospice utilisation of patients involved in these care programmes, controlling for site-specific differences and for other trends in hospice utilisation over time.
The assessment of hospital utilisation will be made using pseudonymised patient secondary care records, drawn from the HES and mortality databases. These linked records will provide a detailed picture of patients’ interactions with the hospital system in the last 90 days of their lives and are matched to dates and places of death.
Only results constructed from aggregate data with small numbers suppressed in line with the HES Analysis Guide will be shared with Hospice UK or St. Giles Medical for the purposes of writing the final report. For example, these outputs might effect size estimates with standard errors; or mean and variance for the number of bed days patients spend in hospital in the last 90 days of life, by hospice location and year, after removing the variability attributable to patient demographics.)
OTHER DATA FLOW CONSIDERATIONS
No data will be shared with any 3rd party organisations other than outputs that are aggregated with small numbers suppressed in line with the HES Analysis Guide. The requested data cover a sensible time-period for testing recent hospice-led care innovations: 2009-2018, with most records relating to patients who died in the last 3-4 years.
Hospice UK is an umbrella organisation that represents hospices in the UK. While 7 Hospices are sending in the identifiers to NHS Digital to facilitate the linkage of datasets, no identifiable or record-level data associated with this application will flow to or from Hospice UK.
All outputs and publications contain only aggregated data with small numbers suppressed in line with the HES Analysis Guide.
By signing the Data Sharing Agreement, the Data Controller confirms that the Data Processors listed within this agreement have each:
- Confirmed that they understand their roles and responsibilities on behalf of the Data Controller as defined within the Data Sharing Agreement.
- Confirmed that the Processing Activities described within the Data Sharing Agreement are accurate and achievable in terms of the particular Data Processors’ processing.